Recent research by Professor Valentina Zharkova (Northumbria University) and colleagues has shed new light on the inner workings of the Sun. If correct, this new discovery means that future solar cycles and variations in the Sun's activity can be predicted more accurately. The research suggests that the next three solar cycles will see solar activity reduce significantly into the middle of the century, producing conditions similar to those last seen in the 1600s – during the Maunder Minimum. This may have implications for temperatures here on Earth. Future solar cycles will serve as a test of the astrophysicists’ work, but some climate scientists have not welcomed the research and even tried to supress the new findings. Read Professor Zharkova's latest research at http://www.nature.com/articles/srep15689
Views: 48236 GWPF
Professor Jordan Peterson explains why the world won't unite to solve the complex issue of climate change. Watch the full video at the Cambridge Union Youtube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_bRDbFU_lto
Views: 1204217 GWPF
In spite of claims that polar bear populations are facing pressure from loss of Arctic summer sea ice, their numbers have in fact grown. In this short video, Dr. Susan Crockford summarises the evidence that polar bears are far more resiliant than has been assumed by those who have turned the animal into an icon of global warming.
Views: 22623 GWPF
Susan Crockford explains why the polar bear no longer serves as an icon of climate change.
Views: 21500 GWPF
2018 Annual GWPF Lecture Prof Richard Lindzen Global Warming For The Two Cultures London 8 October 2018 Institution of Mechanical Engineers
Views: 28582 GWPF
Benny Peiser talks to Ian Plimer about his new book, The Climate Change Delusion and the Great Electricity Ripoff'.
Views: 14174 GWPF
Dr. Susan Crockford looks back at the story which linked a starving polar bear to climate change, but which its authors now admit 'went too far'.
Views: 3171 GWPF
Presentation by Professor Nir Shaviv on 4 April 2018, on the The Cosmic Ray Climate Link, From Geological Timescales to 20th Century Climate Change. The 20th century has seen a notable temperature rise, generally attributed to the greenhouse effect of anthropogenic gases, and a future "business as usual" policy is generally believed to be catastrophic. However, significant evidence indicates that the sun plays a major role in climate change. Shaviv reviews the evidence which proves the existence and quantifies the physical mechanism linking between solar activity and climate — galactic cosmic ray ionization of the atmosphere and its effect on cloud cover. In particular, Shaviv argues that the link operates on geological time scales, linking our galactic motion to long term climate variationsand that once the link is taken into account, a much more consistent picture for 20th century global warming is obtained. In it, climate sensitivity is low and future climate change is benign.
Views: 7996 GWPF
Professor Valentina Zharkova gave a presentation of her Climate and the Solar Magnetic Field hypothesis at the Global Warming Policy Foundation in October, 2018. Principal component analysis (PCA) of the solar background magnetic field observed from the Earth, revealed four pairs of dynamo waves, the pair with the highest eigen values are called principal components (PCs). PCs are shown to be produced by magnetic dipoles in inner and outer layers of the Sun, while the second pair of waves is assumed produced by quadruple magnetic sources and so on. The PC waves produced by a magnetic dipole and their summary curve were described analytically and shown to be closely related to the average sunspot number index used for description of solar activity. Based on this correlation, the summary curve was used for the prediction of long-term solar activity on a millennial timescale. This prediction revealed the presence of a grand cycle of 350-400 years, with a remarkable resemblance to the sunspot and terrestrial activity features reported in the past millennia: Maunder (grand) Minimum (1645-1715), Wolf (grand) minimum (1200), Oort (grand) minimum (1010-1050), Homer (grand) minimum (800-900 BC); the medieval (900-1200) warm period, Roman (400-10BC) and other warm periods. This approach also predicts the modern grand minimum upcoming in 2020-2055. By utilising the two principal components of solar magnetic field oscillations and their summary curve, we extrapolate the solar activity backwards one hundred millennia and derive weaker oscillations with a period of 2000-2100years (a super-grand cycle) reflecting variations of magnetic field magnitude. The last super-grand minimum occurred during Maunder Minimum with magnetic field growing for 500 years (until ~2150) and decreasing for another 500 years. The most likely nature of this interaction will be discussed and used to explain long-term variations of solar magnetic field and irradiance observed from the Earth.
Views: 79496 GWPF
London, 21 February: A new report published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) shows that both the science and policy of the climate debate are shaped and driven by an almost flawless example of classical Groupthink. Written by one of Britain’s leading newspaper columnist Christopher Booker, the report is based on research by Professor Irving Janis, the American psychologist who is famous for his theory of “Groupthink”. But as Booker explains, Janis never looked at the application of his theory outside the policy areas he was interested in: “Janis’s focus was on decision-making in the foreign policy arena. However, as soon as you look, you see that his ideas apply elsewhere. The climate debate is a case in point – all of the characteristic ‘rules’ of groupthink are there: warmist ideas can’t be tested against reality, and so to ensure they are upheld as the truth, they have to be elevated into a ‘consensus’ and anyone who challenges them must be crushed. These are precisely the features that Janis used to define Groupthink.” So just as Groupthink led to the policy disasters of Pearl Harbour, the Bay of Pigs fiasco and Johnson’s escalation of the Vietnam war, attempts to suppress serious debate of climate science and the policies that are being promoted as solutions are leading to irrational behaviour, costly policy blunders and corruption on an unprecedented scale. This will only end when groupthink eventually bumps up against reality. As Booker puts it in his conclusions: “Every South Sea Bubble ends in a crash. Every form of Groupthink eventually has its day. This is invariably what happens when human beings get carried along by the crowd, simply because they have lost the urge or ability to think for themselves.” Download the report from https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2018/02/Groupthink.pdf
Views: 4022 GWPF
Benny Peiser opposing the motion 'This House Would Rather Cool Down the Planet than Warm Up the Economy' at the Cambridge Union.
Views: 3952 GWPF
Prof Henrik Svensmark & Jacob Svensmark discuss the connection between cosmic rays, clouds and climate with the GWPF's Benny Peiser and Jonny Bairstow from Energy Live News.
Views: 7734 GWPF
Coinciding with International Polar Bear Day (27 February), the GWPF’s State of the Polar Bear Report summarizes clear, reliable and concise information on the current state of polar bears in the Arctic since 2014, relative to historical records. It highlights up-to-date data and research findings in a balanced and factual format that avoids hype and exaggeration. It is intended for a wide audience, including scientists, teachers, students, decision-makers and the general public interested in polar bears and Arctic ecology. https://www.thegwpf.org/
Views: 4937 GWPF
An explosive report from the Global Warming Policy Foundation reveals that efforts to recycle plastic are a major cause of the marine litter problem. The report, written by public health expert Dr Mikko Paunio, sets out the case for incinerating waste rather than trying to recycle it. * Most of the plastic waste comes from just a few countries, mostly in Asia and Africa. * 25% is "leakage" from Asian waste management processes -- the rest is waste that has never been collected, but is simply thrown into rivers. * But European countries ship inject huge quantities of waste into Asian waste management streams, ostensibly for recycling. As much as 20% -- millions of tons every year -- ends up in the oceans and will continue to do so. * Since the Chinese banned waste imports at the start of the year, shipments have been diverted to other Asian countries with even weaker environmental controls. * EU recycling is therefore a major contributor to marine waste and increasing recycling will therefore simply increase marine litter. Author Dr Mikko Paunio says, "It is clear that the European contribution to marine waste is a result of our efforts to recycle. However, several countries have already shown that they can reduce this contribution to near zero, by simply incinerating waste" Despite this success, the EU is trying to redouble recycling efforts and to close down the incineration route, mistakenly believing that this will reduce carbon emissions. As Dr Paunio puts it, "The effects look as though they will be appalling. We can expect a great deal more plastic to end up in the environment, and in the oceans in particular. If the EU was serious about its war against marine pollution it should consider banning the export of plastic recyclate rather than banning plastic straws or taxing incineration."
Views: 12167 GWPF
Matt Ridley delivers the 2016 Annual GWPF Lecture at the Royal Society, London 17 October
Views: 21767 GWPF
A report on the State of the Climate in 2016 which is based exclusively on observations rather than climate models is published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF). Compiled by Dr Ole Humlum, Professor of Physical Geography at the University Centre in Svalbard (Norway), the new climate survey is in sharp contrast to the habitual alarmism of other reports that are mainly based on computer modelling and climate predictions. Read the report at http://www.thegwpf.org/the-worlds-first-state-of-the-climate-survey-based-on-observations-only/
Views: 4842 GWPF
Science is currently in the grip of a ’reproducibility crisis’ so severe that the editor of a prominent journal has declared that ‘much of the scientific literature, perhaps half, may simply be untrue’. Media coverage declaring that ’science is broken’ has become commonplace. Science's crisis and its ongoing consequences for climate policy are explored in depth by journalist Donna Laframboise in her new report for the GWPF. The report is available at http://www.thegwpf.org/donna-laframboise-peer-review-why-skepticism-is-essential/
Views: 1749 GWPF
Australia has more energy resources per capita than almost any place on Earth, yet despite that challenge has managed to take top spot for electricity prices. Joanne Nova explains what it took to achieve state-wide blackouts, flying squads of diesel generators, and a tripling of wholesale electricity prices in just five years. Filmed at the GWPF in November 2018.
Views: 17265 GWPF
Benny Peiser Interviews Dr Philipp Lengsfeld, German MP (2013-2017) Dr. Philipp Lengsfeld is a member of the Christian Democratic Party (CDU), and a former member of the German Bundestag. As a member of the committee for research and education he was the CDU/CSU MP responsible for the Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag. As a member of the conservative Berliner Kreis he was the main author of their positioning paper on climate and energy policy. Published in May 2017, the document generated considerable media attention in Germany for its critique of Germany's unilateral climate policies. Dr Lengsfeld is a trained physicist who studied in Berlin and Manchester (UK). For his PhD dissertation he researched in the field of thin-film silicon for solar cell applications. Since 2002, he has worked in the area of international scientific cooperation in medical affairs, for a global, research-based pharmaceutical company in Berlin.
Views: 1759 GWPF
Professor Chris Essex gives a lecture on The Great Climate Fervour to the GWPF in London, May 2017.
Views: 1914 GWPF
Dr Benny Peiser from the Global Warming Policy Foundation speaking on BBC Kent following the IPCC's AR5 Synthesis report.
Views: 8327 GWPF
In July, the UK Meteorological office announced a new study estimating the risk of monthly rainfall records being exceeded in any year between the months of October and March. But the methods and result of this study are questionable. Emphasis on simulations of climate do not seem to give better advice than the historical record, which the Met Office seems to have ignored. This short film looks at a decade of Met Office failures, and suggests that observations may be a better guide to policymaking than computer models.
Views: 2351 GWPF
Dr Susan Crockford explains why the media coverage and statements by scientists and environmental organisations mislead people about the massive walrus haulout seen in Sept/October 2014. Read Susan Crockford’s paper, which refutes claims that Arctic walruses are in distress and danger due to global warming at http://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2014/10/walrus-fuss.pdf
Views: 14663 GWPF
Geothermal heat released through terrestrial and submarine volcanism is an underestimated cause of natural climate variability. Satellites since the early 1980s and ARGO ocean profiling floats since the early 2000s are providing observational records that enable us to study the influence of geothermal heat on climate. Volcanic eruptions can be the cause of both cooling and warming of the atmosphere and the hydrosphere in addition to causing extreme weather events. During large terrestrial eruptions, high plumes inject ash and sulphur-rich particles into the troposphere and stratosphere causing warming initially followed later by cooling. They also release large amounts of carbon dioxide. Lava flows into oceans warm the seawater below the surface. Case studies will be used to highlight the role of geothermal heat on climate variability including the 2014-2015 ENSO and Arctic sea ice changes during the past decade.
Views: 1316 GWPF
Benny Peiser in conversation with Professor Fritz Vahrenholt, one of the founders of the environmental movement in Germany and the Chairman of the German Wildlife Trust.
Views: 5441 GWPF
French philosopher Pascal Bruckner gives a GWPF talk at the House of Lords on his new book, 'The Fanaticism of the Apocalypse', introduced by Benny Peiser with concluding remarks from Nigel Lawson. "The planet is sick. Human beings are guilty of damaging it. We have to pay. Today, that is the orthodoxy throughout the Western world. Concern about the environment is legitimate, but catastrophism transforms us into cowering children. Distrust of progress and science, calls for individual and collective self--sacrifice to 'save the planet' and cultivation of fear: behind the carbon commissars, a dangerous and counterproductive ecological catastrophism is gaining ground. Bruckner locates the predecessors of today's ecological catastrophism in Catholicism's admonishment to give up joy in the present for the sake of eternal life and in Marxism's demand that individuals forsake personal needs for the sake of a brighter future. Modern society's susceptibility to this kind of catastrophism derives from what Bruckner calls the 'seductions of disaster', as exemplified by the popular appeal of disaster movies. But ecological catastrophism is harmful in that it draws attention away from other, more solvable problems and injustices in the world in order to focus on something that is portrayed as an Apocalypse. Rather than preaching catastrophe and pessimism, we need to develop a democratic and generous ecology that addresses specific problems in a practical way. This sharp and contrarian essay on one of the great issues of our time will be widely read and discussed." - Amazon. http://www.amazon.co.uk/Fanaticism-Apocalypse-Earth-Punish-Beings/dp/074566976X/ref=sr_1_1
Views: 4137 GWPF
Professor Roger Pielke Jr. (University of Colorado at Boulder) discusses the scientific evidence and controversy surrounding extreme weather events and global warming with Dr. David Whitehouse.
Views: 2259 GWPF
Judith Curry and David Whitehouse discuss the science of hurricanes amid claims that hurricanes and other extreme weather are being intensified and made more frequent by climate change. See also https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DkwUKfJaKDI
Views: 4585 GWPF
Interview with Michael Miersch from the German Wildlife Foundation
Views: 1915 GWPF
A new briefing paper from the Global Warming Policy Foundation examines the World Health Organisation’s recent report on climate change and finds that its estimates of future mortality from global warming are grossly exaggerated. The WHO report predicted that climate change would bring about 250,000 extra deaths annually between 2030 and 2050, but relied upon absurd assumptions to reach this conclusion. For example, the report assumes that the people affected by climate change will forgo commonsense steps to protect themselves, including several that are already in the works in some developing countries. Briefing paper author Dr Indur Goklany said: “The idea that people would not, for example, react to higher sea levels by building higher sea defences or even moving away from the coast is preposterous, so for the WHO to suggest such a high death toll from climate change completely misleads the public.” And as Dr Goklany goes on to explain, the WHO’s results use climate model results that apparently overstate the warming trend three-fold compared to observations despite using 27% less greenhouse gas forcing. The WHO also assumes that higher carbon dioxide levels will have no beneficial effects on crop yields, despite scientific studies having confirmed that this is precisely what will happen in a wide range of crop species. “Because of its willful exaggerations,” says Goklany, “the WHO study risks scaring people into taking ill-considered costly actions to limit greenhouse gases rather than focusing on higher priority global health issues such as hunger, malaria and diarrhoeal diseases, which can be addressed at a fraction of the cost”. Full report: http://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2014/11/WHO-2.pdf
Views: 1029 GWPF
The Honourable Tony Abbott MP delivers the 2017 Annual GWPF Lecture in London, 09 October. https://www.thegwpf.org/tony-abbott-daring-to-doubt/
Views: 6213 GWPF
London press briefing with Myron Ebell organised by the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) and the Foreign Press Association (FPA). Myron Ebell is the Director of the Center for Energy and Environment at the Competitive Enterprise Institute (CEI). He was until recently the head of President Trump's transition team, overseeing the presidential transition of the Environment Protection Agency (EPA).
Views: 12139 GWPF
A talk by Dr Christopher Essex - Chairman, Permanent Monitoring Panel on Climate, World Federation of Scientists, and Professor and Associate Chair, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Western Ontario, Canada Has the scientific problem of climate been solved in terms of basic physics and mathematics? No, but you will be forgiven if you thought otherwise. For decades, the most rigorous treatments of climate have been done through climate models. The clever model pioneers understood many of their inherent limitations, but tried to persevere nonetheless. Today, few academics are even aware of what the pioneers understood, let alone what has been learned since about the full depth of modelling difficulties. Meanwhile popular expressions of the scientific technicalities are largely superficial, defective, comically nonsensical, and virtually uncorrectable. All of the best physics and all of the best computer models cannot put this Humpty Dumpty together, because we face some of the most fundamental problems of modern science in climate, but hardly know it. If you think you want to have a go at those problems, there are at least a couple million dollars in prizes in it, not to mention a Fields Medal or two. But even if you don’t have some spare afternoons to solve problems that have stymied the best minds in history, this talk will cure computer cachet even for laymen, putting climate models into theirs proper perspective.
Views: 29487 GWPF
Dr Benny Pesier of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, gives evidence to the Full Committee Legislative Hearing on the Super Pollutants Act of 2014 on 2 December 2013. Full testimony at http://www.epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Hearings.Testimony&Hearing_ID=dfd1b078-9d64-35a4-b11e-69c8a9939f03&Witness_ID=5490cede-bca9-4d8f-ba39-324f70c12fc9
Views: 5333 GWPF
Benoît Rittaud is a mathematician and senior lecturer at the University Paris-13. Benoît is a specialist on dynamical systems and number theory and the author of numerous books which have been translated worldwide. He is the president of the French Association of Climate Realists. He also runs one of the most-read climate-realist blogs in the French-speaking world.
Views: 1615 GWPF
A new survey of (651) climate scientists' opinions has been carried out by Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch. Whereas other surveys have asked scientists very simple and binary questions about their belief in climate change, this survey offers deeper and more nuanced insight into scientific opinion. Download the report: https://www.academia.edu/26328070/The_Bray_and_von_Storch_5_th_International_Survey_of_Climate_Scientists_2015_2016
Views: 1133 GWPF
The Climate Change Doctrine is Part of Environmentalism, Not of Science. Royal Society of Arts, 19 October 2010. Read more at http://www.thegwpf.org/images/stories/gwpf-reports/mp030582_Klaus_lecture.pdf
Views: 241 GWPF